As the UAE braces itself for upcoming challenging weather patterns starting this Wednesday, experts are reassured that the impending scenario won't mirror the rainfall event of April 16, according to Dr. Ahmed Habib, a weather specialist at the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM).
In the days ahead, moderate to heavy rainfall is forecasted across scattered regions, occasionally accompanied by lightning, thunder, and the possibility of hail. Dr. Habib emphasized that May 2–3 is earmarked as the 'peak' of the situation, with cloud formations expected to originate in the south of Abu Dhabi and progress towards internal areas like Al Ain.
The onset of inclement weather, expected from Wednesday night onwards, will extend over most parts of the country by Thursday, with temperatures predicted to notably decrease. Dr. Habib elucidated that this weather pattern stems from an extension of low pressure originating from the east, heightening humidity levels and fostering convective cloud formation, particularly in daytime hours.
Regarding the anticipated improvement in weather conditions, Dr. Habib outlined that by Friday-Saturday, the low-pressure system will gradually move southward, leading to a reduction in cloud cover and the onset of light to moderate rainfall.
Examining the contributing factors, Dr. Habib highlighted the influence of local and external elements, such as surface low pressure from the Red Sea and humid southeasterly winds. He also noted the migration of clouds from Saudi Arabia towards the UAE, triggering unstable weather conditions starting late Wednesday night.
When questioned about the potential link between the unprecedented rainfall on April 16 and the climate crisis, Dr. Habib explained that investigations are ongoing to determine the precise cause. The country experienced its heaviest rainfall in 75 years during a span of less than 24 hours, resulting in widespread flooding and disruption to infrastructure. Dr. Habib emphasized the need for comprehensive analysis spanning several decades to comprehend the complex interplay of factors, including the role of global warming in intensifying such extreme weather events.